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NorthGeorgiaWX

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Everything posted by NorthGeorgiaWX

  1. High Surf Advisory issued December 16 at 3:04AM EST until December 18 at 12:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  2. Wind Advisory issued December 16 at 2:45AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  3. Coastal Flood Advisory issued December 16 at 2:43AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  4. High Surf Advisory issued December 16 at 2:43AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  5. Rip Current Statement issued December 16 at 2:43AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  6. Wind Advisory issued December 16 at 2:33AM EST until December 17 at 1:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  7. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  8. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 1:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  9. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  10. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 1:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  11. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 2:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  12. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 10:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  13. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 1:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  14. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:31AM EST until December 17 at 2:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  15. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:22AM EST until December 17 at 1:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  16. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:22AM EST until December 17 at 1:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  17. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:22AM EST until December 17 at 2:00PM EST by NWSView the full article
  18. Flood Watch issued December 16 at 2:22AM EST until December 18 at 12:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  19. SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1239 AM CST Sat Dec 16 2023 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND THE OUTER BANKS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday from northeast South Carolina into eastern North Carolina and the Outer Banks. Primary severe hazard is damaging wind gusts. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Surface low likely over the northern FL/southeast GA vicinity early Sunday morning is forecast to undergo robust deepening throughout the day at it moves rapidly northward. This low is expected to further occlude during this period as well, particularly from Sunday evening onward through early Monday morning. General expectation is for this low to be in the NJ vicinity by 12Z Monday. Given the orientation of the coastline and largely meridional motion of the low, subtle changes to the track of the low could have an outsized influence on the severe risk. A more easterly track will keep much of the higher theta-e air offshore, likely confining the severe risk to the immediate coastal areas and the NC Outer Bank. However, a more westerly track, even by just 50-75 miles, could place significantly more land area within the warm sector, particularly across eastern NC. Shear across the warm sector is expected to be very strong, supported by robust low to mid-level southeasterly flow east of the center of the deepening cyclone. The warm sector will likely feature low to mid 60s dewpoints, but surface heating will be minimal and mid-level lapse rates will be poor, owing to widespread cloud cover and precipitation. Even so, the very strong large-scale forcing for ascent associated with this system will likely lead to the development of narrow, but strongly forced convective line. Current expectation is for this line to impact land areas from northeastern SC across eastern NC and the Outer Banks. Primary threat within this line would be damaging wind gusts, but a brief tornado or two is also possible. A low-probability severe threat may linger during the morning hours farther south over the FL Peninsula. Here, some deep convection is still possible along the primary surface trough before it moves offshore. ..Mosier.. 12/16/2023 Read more View the full article
  20. SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CST Sat Dec 16 2023 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An amplifying mid-level trough across the eastern CONUS will encourage rapid surface cyclone development over the Florida Peninsula as surface high pressure becomes established across much of the rest of the U.S. today. Cooler and moister surface conditions atop poorly receptive fuels suggest that significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over most areas of the CONUS. A weak surface pressure gradient will support some offshore flow across southern California, but the wildfire-spread threat in this region should be tempered by overall weaker surface wind fields. ..Squitieri.. 12/16/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article
  21. High Surf Advisory issued December 15 at 9:24PM EST until December 18 at 12:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  22. SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0633 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms remains negligible across the U.S. tonight. ...01z Update... Plains upper trough will shift slowly east overnight with the primary zone of high-level diffluence expected to focus across the lower MS Valley and lower latitudes. Large-scale forcing should encourage surface cyclogenesis well offshore -- likely over the southern Gulf basin. Resultant low-level convergence over southeast TX/LA will be somewhat negated by this offshore development. Early-evening radar data suggests a few stronger showers are noted along the advancing cold front west of Victoria TX, but otherwise most convection remains quite shallow and lightning-free. While buoyancy will remain weak through sunrise, forecast soundings suggest some threat for lightning despite poor lapse rates/buoyancy. Lightning may also accompany deeper updrafts across extreme south FL, but more likely over the Straits. ..Darrow.. 12/16/2023 Read more View the full article
  23. SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0633 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms remains negligible across the U.S. tonight. ...01z Update... Plains upper trough will shift slowly east overnight with the primary zone of high-level diffluence expected to focus across the lower MS Valley and lower latitudes. Large-scale forcing should encourage surface cyclogenesis well offshore -- likely over the southern Gulf basin. Resultant low-level convergence over southeast TX/LA will be somewhat negated by this offshore development. Early-evening radar data suggests a few stronger showers are noted along the advancing cold front west of Victoria TX, but otherwise most convection remains quite shallow and lightning-free. While buoyancy will remain weak through sunrise, forecast soundings suggest some threat for lightning despite poor lapse rates/buoyancy. Lightning may also accompany deeper updrafts across extreme south FL, but more likely over the Straits. ..Darrow.. 12/16/2023 Read more View the full article
  24. High Surf Advisory issued December 15 at 6:36PM EST until December 18 at 12:00AM EST by NWSView the full article
  25. SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0329 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2023 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z Amplified mid-level flow is expected over the CONUS through the weekend and into early next week. Broad troughing over the eastern US will allow for cooler and wetter conditions as a strong coastal storms develops. To the west, a Pacific trough will quickly deepen off the coast before cutting off and persisting through midweek next week. Broad strong southwesterly flow aloft will spread inland bringing widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures to much of the West Coast. Transient ridging over the central US will keep temperatures abnormally warm, but winds should remain light. With the active and amplified weather pattern expected to continue into mid to late week, widespread precipitation appears likely over much of the CONUS. Little in the way of dry and windy conditions are expected, suggesting fire-weather concerns are limited. ..Lyons.. 12/15/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article
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