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This is an automated feed from the Storm Prediction Center that post the following products with images:
- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
- Mesoscale Discussions - MD number, images, and link to page
- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z The potential for critical fire-weather conditions is low through the extended forecast period. An expansive midlevel low will move gradually eastward from the Middle MS Valley to the central/southern Appalachians from D3/Wednesday through D5/Friday. Along the southern periphery of this feature, strong deep-layer flow will overspread the Lower MS Valley, Gulf Coast, and Southeast. This will promote locally breezy/gusty offshore flow across these areas, though generally cool surface temperatures will limit…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z The potential for critical fire-weather conditions is low through the extended forecast period. An expansive midlevel low will move gradually eastward from the Middle MS Valley to the central/southern Appalachians from D3/Wednesday through D5/Friday. Along the southern periphery of this feature, strong deep-layer flow will overspread the Lower MS Valley, Gulf Coast, and Southeast. This will promote locally breezy/gusty offshore flow across these areas, though generally cool surface temperatures will limit…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...20Z Update... Thunderstorms have largely been relegated to the Dry Tortugas vicinity this afternoon and may remain west to south of the FL Keys into this evening. Thunder potential over most of the FL Peninsula appears rather limited. Some uptick in weak, elevated convection should occur farther north in the southern Appalachians to Savannah Valley vicinity, with sporadic embedded thunderstorms possible afte…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...20Z Update... Thunderstorms have largely been relegated to the Dry Tortugas vicinity this afternoon and may remain west to south of the FL Keys into this evening. Thunder potential over most of the FL Peninsula appears rather limited. Some uptick in weak, elevated convection should occur farther north in the southern Appalachians to Savannah Valley vicinity, with sporadic embedded thunderstorms possible afte…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...20Z Update... Thunderstorms have largely been relegated to the Dry Tortugas vicinity this afternoon and may remain west to south of the FL Keys into this evening. Thunder potential over most of the FL Peninsula appears rather limited. Some uptick in weak, elevated convection should occur farther north in the southern Appalachians to Savannah Valley vicinity, with sporadic embedded thunderstorms possible afte…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 252000Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...20Z Update... Thunderstorms have largely been relegated to the Dry Tortugas vicinity this afternoon and may remain west to south of the FL Keys into this evening. Thunder potential over most of the FL Peninsula appears rather limited. Some uptick in weak, elevated convection should occur farther north in the southern Appalachians to Savannah Valley vicinity, with sporadic embedded thunderstorms possible afte…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy fo…
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy fo…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy fo…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy fo…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentu…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentu…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Conc…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Conc…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. A large upper low dominates the weather across the CONUS today, while the primary weather-making shortwave rotates across the Southeast states and Mid-Atlantic region. Scattered thunderstorms are possible from the central Appalachians southward into FL today, with relatively cool/stable near-surface conditions limiting any risk of severe weather. ...FL Keys... The only area of some minor concern is over the m…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. A large upper low dominates the weather across the CONUS today, while the primary weather-making shortwave rotates across the Southeast states and Mid-Atlantic region. Scattered thunderstorms are possible from the central Appalachians southward into FL today, with relatively cool/stable near-surface conditions limiting any risk of severe weather. ...FL Keys... The only area of some minor concern is over the m…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. A large upper low dominates the weather across the CONUS today, while the primary weather-making shortwave rotates across the Southeast states and Mid-Atlantic region. Scattered thunderstorms are possible from the central Appalachians southward into FL today, with relatively cool/stable near-surface conditions limiting any risk of severe weather. ...FL Keys... The only area of some minor concern is over the m…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. A large upper low dominates the weather across the CONUS today, while the primary weather-making shortwave rotates across the Southeast states and Mid-Atlantic region. Scattered thunderstorms are possible from the central Appalachians southward into FL today, with relatively cool/stable near-surface conditions limiting any risk of severe weather. ...FL Keys... The only area of some minor concern is over the m…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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MD 2345 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA...FAR WESTERN IOWA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA...FAR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA Mesoscale Discussion 2345 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Areas affected...Eastern Nebraska...Far Western Iowa...Eastern South Dakota...Far Western Minnesota...Far Southeast North Dakota Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 251300Z - 251900Z SUMMARY...A mix of freezing rain and sleet will be likely this morning along a narrow corridor from far western Iowa northward into far western Minnesota. Moderate snow, with the possibility of localized heavy snow, w…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... The mid/upper-level pattern over much of the CONUS will be dominated by a vast cyclone, accompanying a low that is evident in moisture- channel imagery over eastern CO. The track of the 500-mb low should follow a cyclonically curving path across KS through tonight, to near BIE by 12Z tomorrow. A pronounced, negatively tilted shortwave trough -- initially located from southeastern KS to near MOB…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... The mid/upper-level pattern over much of the CONUS will be dominated by a vast cyclone, accompanying a low that is evident in moisture- channel imagery over eastern CO. The track of the 500-mb low should follow a cyclonically curving path across KS through tonight, to near BIE by 12Z tomorrow. A pronounced, negatively tilted shortwave trough -- initially located from southeastern KS to near MOB…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... The mid/upper-level pattern over much of the CONUS will be dominated by a vast cyclone, accompanying a low that is evident in moisture- channel imagery over eastern CO. The track of the 500-mb low should follow a cyclonically curving path across KS through tonight, to near BIE by 12Z tomorrow. A pronounced, negatively tilted shortwave trough -- initially located from southeastern KS to near MOB…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... The mid/upper-level pattern over much of the CONUS will be dominated by a vast cyclone, accompanying a low that is evident in moisture- channel imagery over eastern CO. The track of the 500-mb low should follow a cyclonically curving path across KS through tonight, to near BIE by 12Z tomorrow. A pronounced, negatively tilted shortwave trough -- initially located from southeastern KS to near MOB…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 281200Z - 021200Z ...DISCUSSION... A series of upper shortwave troughs will impact the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS through the Day 4-8 period. This will result in reinforcing continental/offshore trajectories, and a dearth of boundary-layer moisture will prevail for most of the forecast period, limiting thunderstorm potential. Further west, an upper trough will move onshore the Pacific coast around Days 5-6/Fri-Sat. Widespread rain and isolated thunderstorms ahead of the trough are expected, though severe-storm potential will be low given gene…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 281200Z - 021200Z ...DISCUSSION... A series of upper shortwave troughs will impact the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS through the Day 4-8 period. This will result in reinforcing continental/offshore trajectories, and a dearth of boundary-layer moisture will prevail for most of the forecast period, limiting thunderstorm potential. Further west, an upper trough will move onshore the Pacific coast around Days 5-6/Fri-Sat. Widespread rain and isolated thunderstorms ahead of the trough are expected, though severe-storm potential will be low given gene…
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