Storm Prediction Center RSS Feed
This is an automated feed from the Storm Prediction Center that post the following products with images:
- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
- Mesoscale Discussions - MD number, images, and link to page
- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 AM CST Wed Dec 06 2023 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 12/06/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1224 AM CST Wed Dec 06 2023/ ...Synopsis... An upper-level high will continue to shift eastward across the central US as troughing develops across the west coast on Wednesday. Surface pressure gradients will increase between a surface high across the southeast and a surface low across the Rockies, with southwesterly breezes possible across portions of the High Plains. Pockets of locally elev…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 AM CST Wed Dec 06 2023 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 12/06/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1224 AM CST Wed Dec 06 2023/ ...Synopsis... An upper-level high will continue to shift eastward across the central US as troughing develops across the west coast on Wednesday. Surface pressure gradients will increase between a surface high across the southeast and a surface low across the Rockies, with southwesterly breezes possible across portions of the High Plains. Pockets of locally elev…
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Wed Dec 06 2023 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight. ...Western OR and northern CA... A strong upper trough is approaching the coast of northern CA and southwest OR, with the associated surface cold front moving ashore in the next couple of hours. Strong onshore flow, lift in vicinity of the front, and cold temperatures aloft may result in isolated lightning flashes this afternoon along the coastal ranges and interior mountains of northern CA/western OR. Present in…
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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Wed Dec 06 2023 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight. ...Western OR and northern CA... A strong upper trough is approaching the coast of northern CA and southwest OR, with the associated surface cold front moving ashore in the next couple of hours. Strong onshore flow, lift in vicinity of the front, and cold temperatures aloft may result in isolated lightning flashes this afternoon along the coastal ranges and interior mountains of northern CA/western OR. Present in…
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No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Dec 3 20:31:01 UTC 2023.View the full article
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MD 2302 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN OH WESTERN PA AND FAR SOUTHWEST NY STATE Mesoscale Discussion 2302 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 PM CST Sun Dec 03 2023 Areas affected...eastern OH Western PA and far southwest NY State Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 031836Z - 032030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms may pose a risk for a brief tornado, damaging wind gusts and small hail this afternoon. Marginal buoyancy and uncertainty about the longevity and coverage of the severe threat suggests a weather watch is unlikely. DISCUSSION...Early afternoon o…
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No watches are valid as of Sat Dec 2 10:02:02 UTC 2023.View the full article
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No watches are valid as of Sat Dec 2 10:02:02 UTC 2023.View the full article
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No watches are valid as of Sat Dec 2 10:02:02 UTC 2023.View the full article
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MD 2299 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 713... FOR SOUTHEAST LA AND COASTAL MS Mesoscale Discussion 2299 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0938 PM CST Fri Dec 01 2023 Areas affected...Southeast LA and coastal MS Concerning...Tornado Watch 713... Valid 020338Z - 020445Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 713 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for a tornadic supercell or two should increase over the next couple hours across southeast LA, including the New Orleans metro area. DISCUSSION...Long-lived convective cluster across south-central LA will likely continue east-northeast into the early morning hours across southeast LA and coastal MS. An embedded su…
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MD 2298 CONCERNING OUTLOOK UPGRADE FOR CENTRAL GULF COAST Mesoscale Discussion 2298 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0613 PM CST Fri Dec 01 2023 Areas affected...Central Gulf Coast Concerning...Outlook upgrade Valid 020013Z - 020145Z SUMMARY...A level 2-Slight Risk will be added with the upcoming 01Z outlook across the central Gulf Coast for the potential of a couple tornadic storms tonight. In the short-term, a gradual increase in the threat for a low-probability brief tornado and locally strong gusts of 40-55 mph should occur across coastal/southern LA through late evening. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm cluster ongoing south of the mouth of the Sabine …
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MD 2297 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST INTO PORTIONS OF WESTERN LOUISIANA Mesoscale Discussion 2297 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0329 PM CST Fri Dec 01 2023 Areas affected...middle and upper Texas Coast into portions of western Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 012129Z - 012330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Developing thunderstorms along a coastal front may eventually grow upscale into a more organized cluster capable of damaging winds or a brief tornado. Confidence in storm evolution and the subsequent severe risk is low. DISCUSSION...As of 2120 …
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MD 2296 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA Mesoscale Discussion 2296 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 AM CST Fri Dec 01 2023 Areas affected...parts of southeastern Mississippi and southwestern Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 011335Z - 011530Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Potential for locally strong wind gusts, or perhaps a brief tornado, may still not be completely negligible with the ongoing cluster of thunderstorms spreading across/northeast and east of the Gulfport MS vicinity. However, this limited severe weather thr…
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MD 2295 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR COASTAL SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL LA Mesoscale Discussion 2295 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 PM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...Coastal southwest/south-central LA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 010531Z - 010730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A low-probability threat for a brief tornado along with isolated strong gusts of 40-55 mph will likely persist overnight, but within a spatially confined area of a single parish or two at any one time that should gradually shift east. DISCUSSION...Attempts at brief mesovortex formation appeared to have…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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MD 2294 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR SOUTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST LA Mesoscale Discussion 2294 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0652 PM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...Far southeast TX and southwest LA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 010052Z - 010245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A spatially limited threat for a tornado should persist along a portion of the northwest Gulf Coast this evening. DISCUSSION...A deep convective cluster has become confined to the far southeast three counties of TX (Chambers, Jefferson, and Orange). This convection has struggled to organize beyond spora…
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MD 2293 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS Mesoscale Discussion 2293 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0525 PM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...southwestern Oklahoma into north-central Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 302325Z - 010100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A marginal risk of severe hail will be possible over the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends have shown strengthening cores within the cells near the Red River along the Texas/Oklahoma border. Mid-level cooling associated with the upper-level trough has given …
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MD 2292 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST TX INTO EXTREME SOUTHWEST LA Mesoscale Discussion 2292 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...Parts of east-central/southeast TX into extreme southwest LA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 302152Z - 302315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some threat for a tornado and locally damaging gusts may still evolve late this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Convection persists this afternoon near the upper TX coast, while storms have also recently developed near the western edge of deeper moisture acr…
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MD 2291 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA Mesoscale Discussion 2291 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 PM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...Northeast Texas into far southwestern Oklahoma Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 301844Z - 302045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...The potential for isolated severe hail, and perhaps damaging wind gusts, should increase through the mid-afternoon hours across northeast Texas and portions of far southwestern Oklahoma. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, the coverage and intensity …
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MD 2290 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST TX Mesoscale Discussion 2290 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 AM CST Thu Nov 30 2023 Areas affected...Southeast TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 301759Z - 302000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The tornado threat may gradually increase with time through the day. Eventual watch issuance is possible, though timing is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Convection is gradually increasing across parts of southeast TX within a low-level warm-advection regime, with recent satellite and radar trends indicating an increase in storm intensity southwest of…
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MD 2289 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR WESTERN NY...EXTREME NORTHWEST PA...FAR NORTHEAST OH Mesoscale Discussion 2289 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0116 AM CST Tue Nov 28 2023 Areas affected...Western NY...Extreme Northwest PA...Far Northeast OH Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 280716Z - 281115Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall, with rates over 2" per hour, are possible across the Tug Hill Plateau over the next several hours. Moderate to occasionally heavy snowfall is also anticipated farther south in the immediate lee of Lake Erie. DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery continues to show a loosely organized band of heavy snowfall extending from eastern portions of La…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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MD 2288 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TO CENTRAL KANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 2288 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sat Nov 25 2023 Areas affected...Northwest Oklahoma to central Kansas Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 251858Z - 260000Z SUMMARY...The potential for periods of heavy snow (snowfall rates exceeding 1 inch/hour) will steadily increase through the afternoon and early evening hours across northwest OK and southern to central KS. DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, a few surface observations across south-central KS have reported periods of visibility reductions down to 0.25 mile, indicative of heavy snowfall rates. Such c…
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MD 2287 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA Mesoscale Discussion 2287 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0855 AM CST Sat Nov 25 2023 Areas affected...Eastern Texas Panhandle into northwest Oklahoma Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 251455Z - 251900Z SUMMARY...Periods of moderate sleet and freezing rain appear probable through mid-afternoon across the eastern Texas Panhandle and northwest Oklahoma. Freezing rain rates up to 0.1 in/hour are possible. DISCUSSION...Surface observations and mPING reports over the past hour are reporting a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain ongoing from the…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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MD 2286 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR NORTHERN MAINE AND NORTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE Mesoscale Discussion 2286 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0850 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2023 Areas affected...northern Maine and northeastern New Hampshire Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 221450Z - 221845Z SUMMARY...Periods of heavy snowfall, with rates up to 1-1.5 inches per hour, are possible for the next few hours across northern Maine and northeastern New Hampshire. DISCUSSION...Heavy snowfall rates have been observed this morning across portions of northern Maine. This activity is associated with a surface cyclone currently analyzed along the southern New England coast. The …
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MD 2285 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 2285 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0607 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2023 Areas affected...Eastern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 221207Z - 221430Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat is expected to develop across parts of eastern North Carolina this morning. The severe threat should remain marginal, and weather watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...At mid-levels, a trough and an associated speed max, are located over the central Gulf Coast states. The 80 to 100 knot mid-…
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MD 2283 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...FLORIDA PANHANDLE Mesoscale Discussion 2283 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0526 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2023 Areas affected...far southeast Alabama...southwest Georgia...Florida Panhandle Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 212326Z - 220200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...The risk for an isolated, brief tornado may persist for another 2 hours or so, from parts of southeast Alabama into southwest Georgia. Given the short time frame and areal extent of the threat, a watch is not expected. DISCUSSION...An isolated supe…
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