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Everything posted by Preston

  1. Yeah I'm having a hard time buying in to much outside of the pattern looks interesting. This is still well into fantasy land but the consistency of some mischief on multiple model runs in a row is interesting and it is getting a little ensemble love. No more Sky Valley reports this winter though, I am about the same elevation as you are now. We just built a house in Clayton. I'm going to miss the elevation but the not the 30 minute one way runs to the grocery store and work.
  2. Tornados are not really going to be the issue. It is damaging winds from the storm itself. A stray spin up tornado could happen but the bigger story is the winds and what should be concerning if anything. Somebody just posted the updated map on here with projected wind gusts.
  3. I feel like the NWS out of GSP is downplaying this to some degree. It has absolutely dumped rain this morning in Rabun County already. I'm hopeful that this doesn't become another impactful event like Hurricane Irma but from what I am seeing on modeling and how fast this thing will be moving, it could be a bad situation.
  4. As a a teacher "up here", I am hoping they do as well. It could be hazardous and our high school kiddos definitely don't need to be out driving in that nor our bus drivers on mountainous roads that are wooded on both sides. If this forecast holds up through tomorrow afternoon, I feel pretty confident that they will. They do a good job in being cautious in these regards.
  5. Some early season eye candy for the Southeast on the 06Z GFS out in 10+ day fantasy land! 🀣 Some good surges of fall weather certainly look to be in order though!
  6. Ricky, it could certainly happen. I’m not holding my breath but we have had an accumulating snow in March about 75% of the time I have lived in Sky Valley.
  7. Higher elevations of Rabun had a little snow. I measured 0.8” total in Sky Valley and the Germany Valley NWS CoOp had I believe 1.7” but I believe you’re right, unless something strange happens, that is likely it for us up here too other than maybe some late season flurries.
  8. Had 0.6” of snow in Sky Valley today on the snow board. I measured several other spots and got a few different measurements, this was the average but it was very windy.
  9. Beginning to flurry in Tiger now.
  10. From my classroom window, it looks like it is snowing on Black Rock Mountain in Rabun County and we are back down to 32 in Sky Valley. So it looks like the column is becoming saturated and we have some evap cooling going on.
  11. Any other details on this event in Lumpkin County? Just seems weird, was it rain that just switched to heavy snow in a confined area? Seems unusual if that is the case, but that area wouldn't usually be impacted by any sort of convective snow shower development of that magnitude.
  12. We have a dusting in Sky Valley, a little bit lighter than what it currently showing up on the Highlands webcam but the secondary roads look similar to this. School is on schedule thankfully though, we don't need anymore snow days says the teacher. It was 22 and still flurrying when I left the house. https://www.highlandschamber.org/about/webcams/
  13. We are getting some light upslope flurries right now in Sky Valley above 3,000'. I drove through a heavier little burst on my way in to the house about an hour ago but unless the wind picks up to get some forcing going, we won't have much. We usually don't get in on the upslope action very much but when conditions are right like they are tonight, the Highlands Plateau from Sky Valley to Highlands can get some surprise snow out of a really moist Northwest Flow. The Highlands webcam was picking up a good burst earlier and it looked like the ground was turning white.
  14. Pretty bad, the color on the map and key don't even match up as well. Weather forecasting is a tough job but the Atlanta stations have lost just about all credibility with me.
  15. I have been a bit disappointed with our winter so far in Sky Valley, but we have had 10.6" on the winter so far. When you look at it from the standpoint we have over twice the amount that NYC has, that makes it a bit easier to deal with. It's amazing to me as a weather the nerd the difference elevation makes. The totals below are from my house at 3,406' of elevation. December 2nd: Trace January 4th: 0.4” January 25th: 0.1” January 31st: 1.3” February 7th: 0.1” February 8th: 5.6” February 20th: 3.1” Season Total: 10.6"
  16. I hate some others were disappointed but I'm glad a lot of folks at least got to see some flakes. We have 3" now in Sky Valley but it looks like things will be winding down soon.
  17. Maybe another hour or so unless something else forms but it doesn't seem that likely.
  18. 2.6" in Sky Valley now but snow is lightening up.
  19. There are some weird lake effect scenarios out there like even Power Plant cooling lakes causing lake effect but this is one that I will have to see to believe I think.
  20. City of Sky Valley is out and about, they just plowed our neighborhood and it is a priority 3 road within the city. Best small town road crew around!
  21. Sky Valley at 2pm. 1.2” of snow.
  22. Really beginning to come down hard in Sky Valley, the road through the neighborhood is covered just from now to five minutes ago when this video was taken. IMG_4781.MOV
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