Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted December 7, 2023 Administrators Share Posted December 7, 2023 SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 AM CST Thu Dec 07 2023 Valid 071300Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... The mid/upper-level pattern will evolve toward a progressive, high-amplitude western CONUS trough through the period, as associated increasingly cyclonic flow is traversed by a series of shortwaves. Accompanying cold midlevel air (-20 to -34 deg C) 500-mb temperatures will spread eastward/inland across a vast section of the northwestern CONUS through the period, from the northern Great Basin northward, and the central/northern Rockies westward. Mesobeta-scale shots of localized, enhanced large-scale lift, where moving atop pockets of marginally favorable low/middle- level moisture, may prompt transient bursts of shallow cells with very isolated/brief thunder potential, almost anywhere in that swath. However, the most favorable areas for 10% or greater thunderstorm coverage appears to be 1) near-coastal Northwest from northern CA to WA, from portions of the Cascades westward, where the coldest air aloft will overlie the greatest low-level moisture content near its Pacific source, and 2) eastern OR/southwestern ID and vicinity. A strong shortwave trough now nearing the coast has contributed to some lightning offshore and near coastal southwestern OR the last few hours, and that potential should continue and shift inland through the remainder of the morning and afternoon. Another round of potential this evening may accompany a field of ascent preceding a perturbation now well west of Vancouver Island, and progged to dig southeastward toward the northern OR Coast. ..Edwards/Kerr.. 12/07/2023 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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