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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 PM CST Thu Dec 07 2023

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

No changes. See previous discussion below.

..Bentley.. 12/07/2023

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1229 AM CST Thu Dec 07 2023/

...Synopsis...
A secondary wave of enhanced mid-level flow will move through the
western US trough, resulting in deepening of the wave and a
deepening surface cyclone progged to move eastward into the Central
Plains. Further west, hot and deeply mixed profiles will allow for
strong surface west to southwest flow aloft to reach the surface
across portions of the southern Texas Panhandle into far west Texas
and southern/eastern New Mexico. Fuels within this region are
expected to undergo drying on Thursday with poor recovery overnight.
ERCs are forecast to be in the 50-75th percentile within the Texas
Panhandle. Further south and west, fuels remain seasonally moist.
However, dormant fine fuels are expected to dry, which will support
potential for fire spread, given the strong winds. Afternoon
relative humidity reductions to around 10-15 percent will overlap
sustained winds at 20-25 mph (locally as high as 30 mph). Given that
larger fuels are not as receptive to spread, an Elevated delineation
was maintained with this outlook. Spotty critical meteorological
conditions will be possible.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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