Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted December 10, 2023 Administrators Share Posted December 10, 2023 MD 2311 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 716... FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INTO WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA Mesoscale Discussion 2311 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 PM CST Sat Dec 09 2023 Areas affected...Central Mississippi into west-central Alabama Concerning...Tornado Watch 716... Valid 092356Z - 100130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 716 continues. SUMMARY...The threat of tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail will continue into the evening. Storm coverage along the front will eventually increase and become more linear. Damaging winds and embedded QLCS circulations/tornadoes will become the predominant threats with time. DISCUSSION...Convection in the western portions of WW 716 have largely remained a broken line with embedded supercells. More discrete storms remain in southeastern Mississippi which developed along a mesoscale boundary earlier in the afternoon. Area VAD profiles as well as forecast soundings suggest a continued threat of tornado, large hail, and damaging wind gusts into the evening. As the synoptic trough continues to dig southeastward and amplify, more convection should develop along the cold front in Mississippi. Though storms would be more linear, sufficient low-level shear should exist for a QLCS tornado threat. A more organized supercell storm currently in Jasper County, MS, continues east-northeastward. Given the more modest deep-layer ascent and marginally less favorable thermodynamics in Alabama, it is not certain how far north/east the storm will progress. Should this supercell persist, as can occur even in less than ideal environments, low-level shear will improve later this evening in parts of central Alabama. This activity would pose a greater tornado threat should that scenario occur. ..Wendt.. 12/09/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN... LAT...LON 31509047 31499154 31659180 32109167 33179105 33699022 34138853 34198737 34108693 33868680 33488694 32858726 32628759 31938871 31569007 31509047 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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