SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

[NorthGeorgiaWX]

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Valid 101700Z - 111200Z

The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations
from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph
gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to
locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the
early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains,
modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to
strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to
suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status
remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous
discussion below for additional details.

..Moore.. 12/10/2023

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/

...Synopsis...
A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the
Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high
pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should
weaken through the day.

...Southern California...
At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this
morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of
15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower
values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels
are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into
the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for
a few hours.

...Southern High Plains...
A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This
may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas
Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low
due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine
fuels only being modestly dry.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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