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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

Fire weather potential appears low through the extended period.
Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show a strong signal for
the development and maintenance of an unseasonably strong surface
high across the eastern two-thirds of the country for much of the
upcoming work week and into next weekend. This will favor cool
conditions and weak gradient winds with low probability for
widespread sustained winds over 20 mph. An upper disturbance
approaching the Southwest/southern High Plains may support areas of
breezy conditions around mid-week, but increasing rain chances
should limit fire weather concerns. 

An offshore flow regime is likely late D3/Tuesday into D5/Thursday
along the southern CA coast as the aforementioned upper wave shifts
into the Southwest. However, long-range ensembles continue to show
only a modest signal for strong low to mid-level winds, which limits
confidence in the magnitude of the offshore flow regime. While
localized fire weather concerns are possible, confidence remains too
low to introduce highlights.

..Moore.. 12/10/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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