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SPC Dec 11, 2023 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook


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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Outlook Image
Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

...Discussion...
A dearth of buoyancy adequate for thunderstorm potential will
persist across much of the CONUS on Tuesday. One exception will be
over the TX Trans-Pecos into southeast NM. Moistening around 700 mb
should gradually occur downstream of a shortwave impulse digging
from the Sierra Nevada to the Lower CO Valley. Guidance has trended
faster with indicating scant elevated buoyancy by Tuesday night. The
RRFS and parent 03Z RAP environment  support isolated thunderstorm
potential, despite neutral mid-level height change. Even so, most
00Z non-CAM and both available HREF members in the 48-60 hour time
frame indicate minimal convective signal prior to 12Z Wednesday.

..Grams.. 12/11/2023

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