Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted December 12, 2023 Administrators Share Posted December 12, 2023 SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2023 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...NM and TX... A shortwave trough will continue east across NM into northwest TX by early Friday. A persistent low-level warm theta-e advection regime in conjunction with mid-level DCVA/height falls ahead of the trough will support a nearly continuous swath of elevated convection, shifting east from NM and west TX into central TX by Thursday night. Elevated buoyancy will remain meager, suggesting that thunderstorm coverage will be sporadic. Guidance is consistent that the plume of steep mid-level lapse rates attendant to the trough on D2 will weaken early D3, inferring severe hail potential should be negligible. ...South FL... Rounds of lower-topped convection should continue within a persistent low-level northeasterly flow regime, namely along the southeast coast. Weak mid to upper-level lapse rates, slightly worse compared to D2, suggests instability will be marginal with low-end thunderstorm probabilities. ..Grams.. 12/12/2023 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.