Jump to content
  • Forum Image

SPC Dec 12, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


Recommended Posts

  • Administrators
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0638 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2023

Valid 121300Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible tonight across
west Texas and southeast New Mexico.

...Synopsis...
Within a southern stream, a midlevel shortwave trough will move
southeastward over NV toward northwest AZ by early Wednesday. 
Farther east, a modifying air mass will begin to return to south TX
and the lower Rio Grande Valley, though moistening farther northwest
into west TX/southeast NM will likely occur near and above the 700
mb level.  Midlevel lapse rates will be sufficiently steep to allow
for the development of weak buoyancy aloft, and warm advection may
support a few embedded convective elements capable of producing
isolated lightning flashes tonight.  Otherwise, gradual low-level
moistening will continue across southeast FL in a persistent
east-northeasterly flow regime, and across the lower TX coast with
onshore flow.  Shallow convection/showers are probable in both
areas, but the threat for convection deep enough to produce
lightning before 12z still appears fairly low.

..Thompson/Gleason.. 12/12/2023

Read more

View the full article

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Who's Online   0 Members, 0 Anonymous, 24 Guests (See full list)

    • There are no registered users currently online


×
×
  • Create New...