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SPC Dec 12, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2023

Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible tonight across
west Texas and southeast New Mexico.

...Synopsis...

No changes to the ongoing outlook are needed with the 1630z update.
Moistening midlevels and steepening lapse rates ahead of the western
U.S. upper trough will foster modest elevated instability overnight
across eastern NM/west TX. Increasing ascent in a continued warm
advection regime may be sufficient for a few lightning flashes in
elevated convective showers. Severe storms are not expected.

..Leitman/Weinman.. 12/12/2023

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