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SPC Dec 15, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0647 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023

Valid 151300Z - 161200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the United States
through tonight.

...Synopsis...
A midlevel low over northwest OK this morning will eject slowly
east-northeastward toward MO by tonight, as an upstream wave digs
south-southeastward from southern AB/SK toward SD/NE.  A band of
rain with embedded convection persists from central TX into central
OK, in association with the midlevel low and a reinforcing frontal
surge across OK/TX.  The band of ascent/rain will spread eastward
and southeastward through tonight, with weak buoyancy aloft
supporting a continued threat for isolated lightning flashes through
tonight (primarily from north TX to southeast TX).  Otherwise, some
convection and isolated lightning flashes may also occur across
south FL/Keys in the persistent easterly flow regime along a
residual front.

..Thompson/Broyles.. 12/15/2023

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