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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0238 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2023

Valid 251200Z - 311200Z

The potential for critical fire-weather conditions appears low
through the extended forecast period. 

From Day 3/Monday through around Day 5/Wednesday, an expansive
closed midlevel low will deepen as it moves slowly eastward from the
central Plains into the OH Valley. At the same time, a related
frontal system will occlude over parts of the Mid/Upper MS Valley.
On the backside of this system, breezy/gusty northwesterly surface
winds are expected across parts of the southern Plains on Days
3-5/Monday-Wednesday, which may briefly overlap a warming/drying
post-frontal air mass. However, any fire-weather concerns should
generally be mitigated by preceding rainfall atop already marginal
fuels.

Farther east, strong deep-layer west-southwesterly flow on the
southern periphery of the closed low will overspread portions of the
Mid-South and Southeast on Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday. This may
promote breezy/gusty surface winds amid marginal RH reductions each
afternoon. While fuels are rather dry across the region,
accumulating rainfall early in the extended period should generally
limit fire-weather concerns.

..Weinman.. 12/23/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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