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SPC Dec 24, 2023 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook


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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Outlook Image
Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 AM CST Sun Dec 24 2023

Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis...

A weakening upper shortwave impulse will lift northeast from the
Southeast states to the central Appalachian vicinity through Monday
evening. At the same time, a southern-stream mid/upper-level jet
streak will overspread the Gulf of Mexico. At the surface, low
pressure will deepen as it shifts north from the Mid-MS Valley into
the Upper Midwest. A trailing cold front oriented from the Ozarks
and Lower MS Valley early in the day will shift east through the
period, becoming oriented from near Lake Michigan to the eastern FL
Panhandle by Tuesday morning. Ahead of the cold front, 60s F surface
dewpoints in be in place across MS/AL and parts of GA, as well as
across FL. However, widespread cloudiness and ongoing
showers/thunderstorms will limit heating. Furthermore, poor low and
midlevel lapse rates will further limit destabilization inland from
the Gulf. While scattered thunderstorms are possible across the
central Gulf Coast states into parts of GA and FL, severe potential
will be limited by weak instability and weakening vertical shear, as
the initial upper shortwave weakens and lifts northeast.

..Leitman.. 12/24/2023

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