Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted December 24, 2023 Administrators Share Posted December 24, 2023 SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 PM CST Sun Dec 24 2023 Valid 261200Z - 011200Z The potential for critical fire-weather conditions appears low through the extended forecast period. On D3/Tue, a belt of strong west-northwesterly flow trailing an expansive midlevel cyclone over the central CONUS will overspread the southern High Plains, where a warming/drying post-frontal air mass will be in place. This will favor dry/breezy conditions over portions of southeast NM into West TX; however, recent rainfall atop already marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns here. On D4/Wed, strong deep-layer westerly flow on the southern periphery of the midlevel cyclone will overlay portions of the Lower MS Valley, where marginal afternoon RH reductions are expected. While this area is experiencing extreme drought and dry fuels, ongoing accumulating rainfall should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns. Thereafter, the strong flow aloft accompanying the eastward-advancing cyclone will remain in place over much of the Gulf Coast and Southeast. A tightening offshore pressure gradient and shallow mixing into the strong flow aloft will favor breezy/gusty surface winds across the region on D5-D6/Thursday-Friday. With that said, marginal RH reductions and additional rainfall should also limit fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 12/24/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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