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SPC MD 2345


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MD 2345 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA...FAR WESTERN IOWA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA...FAR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
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Mesoscale Discussion 2345
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023

Areas affected...Eastern Nebraska...Far Western Iowa...Eastern South
Dakota...Far Western Minnesota...Far Southeast North Dakota

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation 

Valid 251300Z - 251900Z

SUMMARY...A mix of freezing rain and sleet will be likely this
morning along a narrow corridor from far western Iowa northward into
far western Minnesota. Moderate snow, with the possibility of
localized heavy snow, will be likely from eastern Nebraska northward
across much of east-central South Dakota.

DISCUSSION...A mid-level low will steadily deepen across the central
High Plains this morning, as a surface low moves northward across
central Iowa. A distinct band of large-scale ascent is forecast to
move around the northern periphery of the system, making conditions
favorable for widespread winter precipitation. Surface temperatures
will be in the upper 20s and lower 30s F from near Omaha, Nebraska
northward to near Fargo, North Dakota. RAP forecast soundings along
this corridor this morning have a warm layer near 850 mb, suggesting
that precipitation will be mostly in the form of freezing rain, and
possibly sleet. Freezing rain rates of one tenth of an inch per hour
will be possible in some areas.

Further west from northeast Nebraska northward across much of
east-central South Dakota, forecast soundings show sub-freezing
temperatures throughout the low levels. This will support moderate
snow. As isentropic lift dramatically strengthens this morning,
locally heavy snow will be possible in some areas. Snowfall rates
could reach near one inch per hour within the heaviest of bands.

..Broyles.. 12/25/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...BIS...
LBF...

LAT...LON   42069893 41459833 40979733 40909660 41059597 41249549
            41619522 42669541 43779580 44409603 45409619 46209610
            46769644 46869705 46469784 45749879 44899946 44299968
            43179945 42069893 

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