Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 9 Administrators Share Posted January 9 MD 0034 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN/CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA Mesoscale Discussion 0034 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...Eastern/Central North Carolina and southern Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 091832Z - 091930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Strong southeasterly flow is destabilizing eastern North Carolina and southern Virginia. This will increase the severe weather threat this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Instability is currently weak across much of North Carolina. However, southeasterly moisture advection is gradually destabilizing the airmass. By later this afternoon, some damaging wind threat is expected to materialize as the squall line moves into more substantial Gulf Stream moisture. Given the very strong wind field, even the current weak instability could support some damaging wind gusts with the threat increasing through the afternoon. The strong low-level speed and directional shear will support some tornado threat, but mid 60s dewpoints will likely be needed for a more substantial threat, which will not arrive until later this afternoon across eastern North Carolina. A watch will be issued soon to address this threat. ..Bentley/Hart.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK... LAT...LON 35618023 36108034 36448043 36758043 37017936 37117857 37007748 36317702 35737698 34917672 34677671 34517703 34247752 33807783 33677800 33687836 34707955 35618023 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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