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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2024

Valid 111700Z - 121200Z

No changes to the ongoing forecast.

..Wendt.. 01/11/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0148 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2024/

...Synopsis...
A broad upper-level trough will quickly intensify over the Southwest
before ejecting into the southern Plains by the end of the forecast
period. Strong southwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern
CONUS as a surface lee cyclone rapidly deepens over TX/OK. South of
the low, very strong surface winds and low humidity are expected to
support elevated fire-weather conditions over parts of the TX Trans
Pecos and Big Bend region.

...Texas Trans-Pecos...
With the strong trough ejecting eastward, the lee low is expected to
rapidly intensify through the day along the Red River. Low-level
westerly winds will quickly increase to the southwest of the surface
low track across parts of southern NM and west TX. Dry and windy
conditions, with gusts to 30-40 mph and RH below 20%, are expected
to support a few hours of meteorological elevated/critical
conditions in the Trans-Pecos. Several days of preceding dry/windy
conditions have recently allowed fine fuels to dry enough to support
some risk of fire spread. With the expected overlap of gusty winds
and low humidity over drying fuels, elevated to locally critical
fire-weather conditions are possible.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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