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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0115 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

Have broadened the Elevated risk area into more of South Texas based
on the latest guidance. The prior forecast reasoning otherwise
remains valid.

..Wendt.. 01/11/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2024/

...Synopsis...
The surface low previously over the southern Plains is forecast to
deepen rapidly and lift away into the OH Valley as the parent trough
intensifies over the Midwest. In the wake of the trough/low, a cold
front will move south over the southern Plains toward the Gulf
coast, supporting strong northwesterly winds and dry surface
conditions over parts of southwest TX. A few hours of elevated
fire-weather conditions are possible before an Arctic front arrives
with much colder temperatures.

...Southwest Texas & Rio Grande Valley...
Behind the leading cold front, strong northwesterly surface flow is
expected across the Rio Grande Valley and Southwest Texas on Friday.
Several days of dry/breezy conditions have allowed antecedent fine
fuels to dry sufficiently to support fire spread. Winds will be
strongest through early afternoon before weakening into the
overnight hours as the surface low lifts away to the northeast. A
few hours of overlap of the stronger winds with RH values below 20%
will promote elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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