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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 PM CDT Thu Jul 25 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

No changes to the ongoing forecast.

..Wendt.. 07/25/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0201 AM CDT Thu Jul 25 2024/

...Synopsis...
As a mid-level shortwave trough moves onshore to the California
coast and into Nevada tomorrow, isolated dry thunderstorms are
expected across northern Utah into southeastern Idaho and
southwestern Wyoming. Elevated fire-weather conditions are also
expected across portions of the Northwest, including northern
California into southwestern Oregon, western portions of the Upper
Snake River Region in Idaho, and far northern Montana. 

...Northern Utah into Southern Idaho and Southwestern Wyoming...
Isolated dry thunderstorms are expected as a mid-level trough and
associated jet streak approaches the California coast. Hot, dry
boundary-layer profiles, coupled with 35-40 kt mean wind speed
estimates for storm motions, will result in little wetting rainfall
occurring over receptive fuels. A mix of dry and wet thunderstorms
are possible further into Wyoming, but fuels in the region are less
receptive to ignitions. There may be a chance for isolated dry
thunderstorms in far southern Montana, but the threat appears to be
too localized to include a highlight area at this time. 

...Northwest... 
Elevated fire-weather conditions will persist across portions of
southern Oregon and into northwestern California with the
approaching trough. The strongest winds will likely be confined to
the Fremont mountains and Modoc Plateau. Portions of northern
Montana could also see elevated fire-weather conditions on Friday,
where prolonged dry and windy conditions will overlap with receptive
fuels as a mid-level jet extending from Saskatchewan into Montana
begins to exit the region and progress eastward. The most pronounced
region for elevated conditions is expected to be across portions of
the Snake River Plain and into the Upper Snake Region, where there
is significant overlap between 20-25 kt surface winds, 
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