Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted Tuesday at 08:45 AM Administrators Share Posted Tuesday at 08:45 AM Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 AM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Valid 251200Z - 301200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe weather concerns will be minimal D4/Friday to D7/Monday as a mid-level trough amplifies across the Northeast and a strong surface high pressure center moves across the eastern CONUS in its wake. By late in the weekend to early next week, lee troughing will return to the Plains as a trough traverses the western CONUS. There is still considerable uncertainty regarding the timing and evolution of this trough, but in general, there is a consistent signal for a strong trough to eject out of the western CONUS in the early to middle part of next week. Dry air has infiltrated the northern Gulf of Mexico this week with consistent east-northeasterly flow reinforcing this more continental airmass through the weekend. Richer low-level moisture is not forecast to return to the entire Gulf Basin until Tuesday/D8. This may result in limited inland moisture and instability Monday/D7 and Tuesday D8, particularly if the trough follows some of the more progressive guidance. However, if return flow continues for a longer period before the primary trough ejects, a greater severe weather threat is possible, but it would likely be beyond Tuesday/D8. Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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