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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1149 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

...Synopsis...
Large-scale critical fire-weather conditions are currently not
anticipated on Thursday. However, elevated-to-locally-critical
fire-weather conditions may develop across portions of the Southern
Plains. 

Here, a weak frontal boundary will weaken and dissipate in response
to a developing lee cyclone. Strong, gusty southerly winds will take
hold by the afternoon, with winds gusting around 30 mph at times.
Additionally, residual circulations associated with the dissipating
surface front will help drive afternoon high temperatures to near
record levels. Given the long-term drought and extremely receptive
fuels, an Elevated Risk was introduced despite forecast relative
humidity around 30%. Given the potential for strong vertical mixing,
relative humidity will have to potential to fall much lower than
models currently suggest. An increase in initial attack and the
potential for significant wild fires across the Southern Plains will
continue to be evaluated with subsequent forecasts.

..Marsh.. 10/23/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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