Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted yesterday at 12:25 PM Administrators Share Posted yesterday at 12:25 PM SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0721 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight. ...Upper OH Valley into western NY this evening... A midlevel shortwave trough over the upper MS Valley this morning will progress east-southeastward to NY/PA and the Mid-Atlantic by the end of the period. Ascent preceding the midlevel trough and an associated surface cold front could support some shallow convective showers late this afternoon/evening from northeast OH to western NY. However, marginal low-level moisture and minimal buoyancy suggest that thunderstorms are unlikely. ...Northern AR to central OK this afternoon... Boundary-layer dewpoints near 60 F and surface heating will drive surface-based buoyancy this afternoon along a slow-moving front from northern AR into central OK. Thermodynamic profiles suggest some potential for deep convection, but forcing for ascent will remain shallow/weak at best. Overall, thunderstorm potential appears too limited for an outlook area. ..Thompson/Goss.. 10/23/2024 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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