Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted yesterday at 06:33 PM Administrators Share Posted yesterday at 06:33 PM SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 PM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z Dry return flow ahead of an approaching cold front will result in elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions in portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, and the Texas Panhandle tomorrow. Latest high-resolution guidance indicates higher dewpoints will return to portions of eastern Oklahoma, eastern Kansas, and western Missouri than previously forecast, leading to a westward shift of the Elevated area. While RH will be around elevated criteria, temperatures will be well above normal in addition to the strong southerly winds across portions of the southern/central Plains. Areas farther west in Kansas and Texas were not included due to recent rainfall. Additionally, locally elevated conditions are likely in portions of eastern Colorado behind the cold front, but recent rainfall should mitigate concerns. ..Nauslar.. 10/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1149 PM CDT Tue Oct 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... Large-scale critical fire-weather conditions are currently not anticipated on Thursday. However, elevated-to-locally-critical fire-weather conditions may develop across portions of the Southern Plains. Here, a weak frontal boundary will weaken and dissipate in response to a developing lee cyclone. Strong, gusty southerly winds will take hold by the afternoon, with winds gusting around 30 mph at times. Additionally, residual circulations associated with the dissipating surface front will help drive afternoon high temperatures to near record levels. Given the long-term drought and extremely receptive fuels, an Elevated Risk was introduced despite forecast relative humidity around 30%. Given the potential for strong vertical mixing, relative humidity will have to potential to fall much lower than models currently suggest. An increase in initial attack and the potential for significant wild fires across the Southern Plains will continue to be evaluated with subsequent forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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