NorthGeorgiaWX

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049 ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125- 133-139-141-145-147-149-120940- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120940- Read more View the full article

Wind Advisory issued January 12 at 3:44AM EST until January 13 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

MD 0049 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 9... FOR NORTHEAST TX...NORTHWEST LA...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN AR Mesoscale Discussion 0049 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Areas affected...Northeast TX...Northwest LA...central/southern AR Concerning...Tornado Watch 9... Valid 120841Z - 121015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 9 continues. SUMMARY...Some increase in the severe threat is expected with time. All severe hazards are possible. New watch issuance is likely before the expiration of Tornado Watch 9. DISCUSSION...Extensive convection is ongoing at 0830 UTC from northeast TX into AR, in advance of a strong mid/upper-level shortwave trough moving across north TX. Low-level moisture continues to gradually increase across the effective warm sector, with MLCAPE currently in the 1000-1500 J/kg range. As a 100+ kt midlevel jet associated with the approaching shortwave impinges upon the ArkLaTex region, already-favorable deep-layer flow/shear will continue to increase, and increasingly organized/sustained storm structures are expected to evolve through the morning. Discrete cells have struggled to mature in advance of the main convective line thus far, though a couple prefrontal supercells may evolve with time, with an attendant threat of all severe hazards. Otherwise, the severe-wind threat is expected to increase as the primary convective line accelerates eastward through the morning. Strong low-level flow/shear will support some threat for significant (65+ kt) gusts, as well as some potential for line-embedded tornadoes. With WW 9 scheduled to expire at 4 AM CST and some severe threat likely to spread well downstream, new watch issuance is likely for parts of the MCD area a little later this morning. ..Dean/Edwards.. 01/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 31199642 32749531 33599457 34789348 35169278 35229186 35189145 34879127 34289147 33499182 32579262 32109340 31749423 31469502 31199642 Read more View the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Sunday. At the surface a large area of high pressure will envelop much of the CONUS. An arctic airmass over much of the country will result in dry and/or stable conditions, precluding thunderstorm activity. Some boundary-layer moisture will remain in place across the central/southern FL Peninsula in the wake of Saturday's cold front. However, warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates will likely preclude thunderstorm activity, though showers are possible. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow will persist across the southern Rockies on Saturday, favoring a weak lee cyclone over eastern NM (ahead of an approaching cold front). Along the southern periphery of the lee cyclone, breezy/gusty westerly surface winds are expected across the TX Trans-Pecos region, where downslope flow will support 10-15 percent minimum RH. As a result, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible, though these conditions appear too marginal/localized for highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 01/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... An amplified large-scale trough accompanied by strong flow aloft will advance eastward from the Great Plains into the eastern CONUS. An attendant surface low initially over the Mid-MS Valley will deepen as it moves northeastward into the Great Lakes, while a southward-extending cold front continues eastward across the Gulf of Mexico. On the backside of the surface low and midlevel wave, a tight pressure gradient will yield strong northwesterly surface winds across much of TX. Along the Lower Rio Grande Valley, 20-30 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) are expected during the morning into early afternoon hours. During this time, boundary-layer heating/mixing into very dry air aloft will favor 10-15 percent minimum RH. These dry/windy conditions will support elevated to locally/briefly critical fire-weather conditions given modestly receptive fine fuels over the area. ..Weinman.. 01/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

MD 0048 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHEAST AR...WESTERN TN...EXTREME NORTHWEST MS...MO BOOTHEEL REGION Mesoscale Discussion 0048 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Areas affected...Northeast AR...Western TN...Extreme northwest MS...MO Bootheel region Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 120713Z - 120915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts is expected early this morning. Short-term watch issuance is unlikely, though another round of potentially severe storms is expected later this morning. DISCUSSION...Multiple bowing storm clusters are moving across east-central/northeast AR early this morning, with observed wind gusts in the 40-45 kt (with one 54 kt gust recently noted at KARG in the wake of the line) and potentially large hail noted in MRMS data. These storms are generally northeast of the primary low-level moist axis, and will likely continue to be somewhat elevated as they move east-northeastward toward western TN and the MO Bootheel region. However, steepening midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer flow/shear (as noted in the 06Z LZK sounding and regional VWPs) in advance of a strong mid/upper-level shortwave trough will continue to support organized convection early this morning, with some threat for isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts. Given the somewhat elevated nature of the ongoing storms and a likely tendency for this convection to move out of the primary instability axis, short-term watch issuance is unlikely. However, another round of organized convection is expected later this morning, as the upstream shortwave and its attendant strong forcing and powerful flow fields overspread the region. ..Dean/Edwards.. 01/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 36499058 36728991 36678924 36138923 35628917 34958952 34728977 34558993 34519031 34599059 34689077 34889087 35359086 36499058 Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE DAL TO 15 ENE PRX TO 35 NNW DEQ TO 35 SE FYV. ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-117-119- 125-127-133-139-141-145-147-149-120840- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POLK POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SCOTT SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120840- LA Read more View the full article

WW 0009 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE DAL TO 15 ENE PRX TO 35 NNW DEQ TO 35 SE FYV. ..DEAN..01/12/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069- 071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-117-119- 125-127-133-139-141-145-147-149-120840- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POLK POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SCOTT SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF YELL LAC015-017-027-119-120840- LA Read more View the full article

High Wind Warning issued January 12 at 2:17AM EST until January 12 at 7:00PM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Advisory issued January 12 at 2:17AM EST until January 13 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Advisory issued January 12 at 2:17AM EST until January 13 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

Wind Advisory issued January 12 at 2:17AM EST until January 13 at 1:00AM EST by NWSView the full article

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday. ...Synopsis... A surface cold front will be oriented across central FL Saturday morning. The front will quickly move across the southern Peninsula through early afternoon. While a moist boundary layer will be in place ahead of the front, veering low-level winds and poor midlevel lapse rates are forecast. Additionally, stronger large-scale ascent will be shifting away from the Southeast U.S. by the morning hours. As such, severe potential will be low, though a few lingering thunderstorms will be possible. Thunderstorms are not expected elsewhere as an arctic airmass settles southward across much of the CONUS. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday. ...Synopsis... A surface cold front will be oriented across central FL Saturday morning. The front will quickly move across the southern Peninsula through early afternoon. While a moist boundary layer will be in place ahead of the front, veering low-level winds and poor midlevel lapse rates are forecast. Additionally, stronger large-scale ascent will be shifting away from the Southeast U.S. by the morning hours. As such, severe potential will be low, though a few lingering thunderstorms will be possible. Thunderstorms are not expected elsewhere as an arctic airmass settles southward across much of the CONUS. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday. ...Synopsis... A surface cold front will be oriented across central FL Saturday morning. The front will quickly move across the southern Peninsula through early afternoon. While a moist boundary layer will be in place ahead of the front, veering low-level winds and poor midlevel lapse rates are forecast. Additionally, stronger large-scale ascent will be shifting away from the Southeast U.S. by the morning hours. As such, severe potential will be low, though a few lingering thunderstorms will be possible. Thunderstorms are not expected elsewhere as an arctic airmass settles southward across much of the CONUS. ..Leitman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THIS MORNING... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds, some potentially to 75 mph, and a few tornadoes, are possible from today into early this evening from parts of the Southeast into the Carolinas. The greatest chance of severe wind gusts will be from central and northern Mississippi into northwest Alabama this morning. ...Gulf Coast States... A progressive upper-level trough will move quickly northeastward from the Ark-La-Tex to the Ohio Valley today. This morning, a north-to-south corridor of maximized low-level moisture will be in place ahead of the trough across the lower Mississippi Valley. A line of strong thunderstorms will likely be ongoing near and just to the west of the moist axis at daybreak across eastern Arkansas and northern Louisiana. This line is forecast to move eastward across central and northern Mississippi during the mid to late morning. Peak intensity within this line of strong storms is expected around 15Z, as the core of a 100 to 120 knot mid-level jet moves in from the west. Damaging wind gusts will be possible along the leading edge of the line, with some gusts to around 75 mph possible, mainly associated with organized bowing segments. An isolated tornado threat is also expected with rotating cells embedded in the line. As the line of storms moves eastward across the central Gulf Coast states into weaker instability around midday, the wind-damage threat should become more isolated. The greatest wind-damage threat is expected to shift from the central Gulf Coast states southward toward the central Gulf Coast early this afternoon, as instability becomes maximized along and near the coast. ...Georgia/Carolinas... Strong moisture advection will occur today from eastern parts of the Southeast into the Carolinas, as a fast-moving upper-level trough moves east-northeastward across the Tennessee Valley. The moist axis will be located just ahead of the trough, moving eastward from the central Gulf Coast states into the Carolinas by afternoon. Instability is forecast to become maximized by late afternoon, as the line of storms approaches in the stronger instability. The potential for wind damage is expected to increase somewhat as the line of storms approaches the stronger instability, from eastern South Carolina into southern North Carolina. Wind damage will be moist likely along the more organized part of the line. A tornado threat could also develop with rotating cells in or ahead of the line. However, in many areas, instability will remain too weak for a greater severe threat coverage. The severe threat is expected to diminish during the early evening, as the upper-level trough outruns the warm sector. ..Broyles/Weinman.. 01/12/2024 Read more View the full article