Good morning!

I've been spending my energy watching the tropical system in the Gulf, so it is time to re-focus. We're getting close to September 1 (and the start of meteorological fall), and we are now in range of the official NWS forecast. First, there is no sign of rain through about the 6th of the month, so that's the good news.

The bad news is of course, the heat. Fortunately, the worst of the heat will remain just to the south over Kansas, at least to start with. We'll start with the highs on August 30th, and go from there.

Close to 100, and on that concrete, it will certainly feel like it. 

These are the high temp anomalies for the 1st and 2nd.

I think the Euro and Canadian ensembles have the best handle on the temperatures, the GFS has been sniffing too much race fuel.

Here how the rainfall totals look through September 3rd. Please don't ask where Nebraska is. 🙂