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- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
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- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0101 PM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern coastal CA for Saturday. Offshore pressure gradients across southern CA have steadily been strengthening over the past 6-12 hours, and most deterministic solutions suggest they should reach peak intensity Saturday morning (e.g. DAG-LAX gradient between -6 to -9 mb during the 12-15 UTC period). This should support strong winds gusting between 30-50 mph (with more isolated gusts near 60 mph) within the coastal ranges from eastern Ventura/western LA count…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0101 PM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern coastal CA for Saturday. Offshore pressure gradients across southern CA have steadily been strengthening over the past 6-12 hours, and most deterministic solutions suggest they should reach peak intensity Saturday morning (e.g. DAG-LAX gradient between -6 to -9 mb during the 12-15 UTC period). This should support strong winds gusting between 30-50 mph (with more isolated gusts near 60 mph) within the coastal ranges from eastern Ventura/western LA count…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0101 PM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern coastal CA for Saturday. Offshore pressure gradients across southern CA have steadily been strengthening over the past 6-12 hours, and most deterministic solutions suggest they should reach peak intensity Saturday morning (e.g. DAG-LAX gradient between -6 to -9 mb during the 12-15 UTC period). This should support strong winds gusting between 30-50 mph (with more isolated gusts near 60 mph) within the coastal ranges from eastern Ventura/western LA count…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TX INTO THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing a few tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and large hail will be possible from east Texas to the Tennessee Valley, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening. ...Synopsis... A deep, positively tilted upper-level trough will move eastward across parts of the central/eastern CONUS on Saturday. Within the larger-scale trough, an upper-level cyclone initially over MN will evolve int…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TX INTO THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing a few tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and large hail will be possible from east Texas to the Tennessee Valley, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening. ...Synopsis... A deep, positively tilted upper-level trough will move eastward across parts of the central/eastern CONUS on Saturday. Within the larger-scale trough, an upper-level cyclone initially over MN will evolve int…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 75 views
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TX INTO THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing a few tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and large hail will be possible from east Texas to the Tennessee Valley, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening. ...Synopsis... A deep, positively tilted upper-level trough will move eastward across parts of the central/eastern CONUS on Saturday. Within the larger-scale trough, an upper-level cyclone initially over MN will evolve int…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 139 views
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF EAST TX INTO THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing a few tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and large hail will be possible from east Texas to the Tennessee Valley, mainly Saturday afternoon and evening. ...Synopsis... A deep, positively tilted upper-level trough will move eastward across parts of the central/eastern CONUS on Saturday. Within the larger-scale trough, an upper-level cyclone initially over MN will evolve int…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 77 views
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible this evening and overnight across the ArkLaTex and Ozarks. ...Ozarks/ArkLaTex... Height falls will regionally increase late today into tonight owing to the interface of a northern Plains shortwave trough and the east/northeastward ejection of a trough/jet streak from the central/southern Rockies. As this occurs, lower/some middle 60s F surface dewpoints are expected to become increasingly…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 35 views
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible this evening and overnight across the ArkLaTex and Ozarks. ...Ozarks/ArkLaTex... Height falls will regionally increase late today into tonight owing to the interface of a northern Plains shortwave trough and the east/northeastward ejection of a trough/jet streak from the central/southern Rockies. As this occurs, lower/some middle 60s F surface dewpoints are expected to become increasingly…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 82 views
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible this evening and overnight across the ArkLaTex and Ozarks. ...Ozarks/ArkLaTex... Height falls will regionally increase late today into tonight owing to the interface of a northern Plains shortwave trough and the east/northeastward ejection of a trough/jet streak from the central/southern Rockies. As this occurs, lower/some middle 60s F surface dewpoints are expected to become increasingly…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 75 views
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible this evening and overnight across the ArkLaTex and Ozarks. ...Ozarks/ArkLaTex... Height falls will regionally increase late today into tonight owing to the interface of a northern Plains shortwave trough and the east/northeastward ejection of a trough/jet streak from the central/southern Rockies. As this occurs, lower/some middle 60s F surface dewpoints are expected to become increasingly…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 83 views
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081700Z - 091200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed to reflect recent observations and trends in hi-res guidance. Across southwest TX, elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions remain likely by early afternoon. The 12 UTC Midland, TX sounding sampled a very dry residual boundary layer atop a shallow nocturnal inversion. Given clear skies across the region, strong diurnal insolation will likely result in a rapid decrease in RH accompanied by strengthening westerly winds by around…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081700Z - 091200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed to reflect recent observations and trends in hi-res guidance. Across southwest TX, elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions remain likely by early afternoon. The 12 UTC Midland, TX sounding sampled a very dry residual boundary layer atop a shallow nocturnal inversion. Given clear skies across the region, strong diurnal insolation will likely result in a rapid decrease in RH accompanied by strengthening westerly winds by around…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 51 views
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION TO THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated large hail is possible this evening and tonight from parts of the Arklatex region to the Ozarks. ...Synopsis... An eastward-moving, amplifying, mid/upper-level trough is expected to shift into the central CONUS during the period, spreading an extensive field of height falls and strengthening flow aloft across much of the Plains States and Mississippi Valley. Within the associated cyclonic flow, tw…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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- 43 views
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION TO THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated large hail is possible this evening and tonight from parts of the Arklatex region to the Ozarks. ...Synopsis... An eastward-moving, amplifying, mid/upper-level trough is expected to shift into the central CONUS during the period, spreading an extensive field of height falls and strengthening flow aloft across much of the Plains States and Mississippi Valley. Within the associated cyclonic flow, tw…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 65 views
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION TO THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated large hail is possible this evening and tonight from parts of the Arklatex region to the Ozarks. ...Synopsis... An eastward-moving, amplifying, mid/upper-level trough is expected to shift into the central CONUS during the period, spreading an extensive field of height falls and strengthening flow aloft across much of the Plains States and Mississippi Valley. Within the associated cyclonic flow, tw…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 71 views
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION TO THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated large hail is possible this evening and tonight from parts of the Arklatex region to the Ozarks. ...Synopsis... An eastward-moving, amplifying, mid/upper-level trough is expected to shift into the central CONUS during the period, spreading an extensive field of height falls and strengthening flow aloft across much of the Plains States and Mississippi Valley. Within the associated cyclonic flow, tw…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 65 views
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION TO THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated large hail is possible this evening and tonight from parts of the Arklatex region to the Ozarks. ...Synopsis... An eastward-moving, amplifying, mid/upper-level trough is expected to shift into the central CONUS during the period, spreading an extensive field of height falls and strengthening flow aloft across much of the Plains States and Mississippi Valley. Within the associated cyclonic flow, tw…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 116 views
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential appears likely to be negligible for several days in the wake of this weekend's cold front progressing through much of the Gulf. Above-average agreement exists with the establishment of a surface anticyclone over the East on D4/Monday, further reinforced later in the week. This will yield predominant easterly surface winds by D5/Tuesday over the Gulf and FL Peninsula, with gradual airmass modification through the rest of the period. Curiously, both the deterministic 00Z GFS and ECMWF to varying …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 131 views
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential appears likely to be negligible for several days in the wake of this weekend's cold front progressing through much of the Gulf. Above-average agreement exists with the establishment of a surface anticyclone over the East on D4/Monday, further reinforced later in the week. This will yield predominant easterly surface winds by D5/Tuesday over the Gulf and FL Peninsula, with gradual airmass modification through the rest of the period. Curiously, both the deterministic 00Z GFS and ECMWF to varying …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 53 views
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential appears likely to be negligible for several days in the wake of this weekend's cold front progressing through much of the Gulf. Above-average agreement exists with the establishment of a surface anticyclone over the East on D4/Monday, further reinforced later in the week. This will yield predominant easterly surface winds by D5/Tuesday over the Gulf and FL Peninsula, with gradual airmass modification through the rest of the period. Curiously, both the deterministic 00Z GFS and ECMWF to varying …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 39 views
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential appears likely to be negligible for several days in the wake of this weekend's cold front progressing through much of the Gulf. Above-average agreement exists with the establishment of a surface anticyclone over the East on D4/Monday, further reinforced later in the week. This will yield predominant easterly surface winds by D5/Tuesday over the Gulf and FL Peninsula, with gradual airmass modification through the rest of the period. Curiously, both the deterministic 00Z GFS and ECMWF to varying …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
- 37 views
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential appears likely to be negligible for several days in the wake of this weekend's cold front progressing through much of the Gulf. Above-average agreement exists with the establishment of a surface anticyclone over the East on D4/Monday, further reinforced later in the week. This will yield predominant easterly surface winds by D5/Tuesday over the Gulf and FL Peninsula, with gradual airmass modification through the rest of the period. Curiously, both the deterministic 00Z GFS and ECMWF to varying …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible through Sunday evening across parts of the Southeast States, mainly in the form of sporadic damaging winds and a few brief tornadoes. ...Synopsis... An amplified, positive-tilt upper trough from ON to east TX at 12Z Sunday will take on a neutral to slight negative tilt as intense mid-level southerlies become asymmetrically confined ahead of it. This will induce surface cyclogene…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
- 0 replies
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible through Sunday evening across parts of the Southeast States, mainly in the form of sporadic damaging winds and a few brief tornadoes. ...Synopsis... An amplified, positive-tilt upper trough from ON to east TX at 12Z Sunday will take on a neutral to slight negative tilt as intense mid-level southerlies become asymmetrically confined ahead of it. This will induce surface cyclogene…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX,
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