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SPC Dec 8, 2023 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook


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Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Image
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2023

Valid 111200Z - 161200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Severe potential appears likely to be negligible for several days in
the wake of this weekend's cold front progressing through much of
the Gulf. Above-average agreement exists with the establishment of a
surface anticyclone over the East on D4/Monday, further reinforced
later in the week. This will yield predominant easterly surface
winds by D5/Tuesday over the Gulf and FL Peninsula, with gradual
airmass modification through the rest of the period. 

Curiously, both the deterministic 00Z GFS and ECMWF to varying
degrees indicate surface cyclone development over the Gulf around
D9/next Saturday. Although both also have fairly minor support from
their respective ensemble members for this scenario.

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