Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted December 18, 2023 Administrators Share Posted December 18, 2023 MD 2336 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 2336 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 PM CST Sun Dec 17 2023 Areas affected...portions of extreme eastern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 180253Z - 180400Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...A brief tornado cannot be ruled out with any storms along the NC coast that can ingest surface-based buoyancy. A Tornado Watch is being issued. DISCUSSION...A surface low continues to approach the NC/SC coastline, with an effective warm front established roughly near the NC shore. Regional VADs depict impressively curved/enlarged hodographs over extreme eastern North Carolina. The effective warm front and associated marginally buoyant surface-based parcels have struggled to move far inland over the last several hours, limiting severe potential. However, mid 60s to near 70 F surface dewpoints reside along the shore, and it is possible that this better moisture may move further inland of ongoing storms over the next couple of hours. Should this occur, a damaging gust or brief tornado may develop with any of the stronger storms. Given the impressive shear profiles, a new Tornado Watch is being issued given destabilization/convective trends that are possible over the next few hours. ..Squitieri/Smith.. 12/18/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX... LAT...LON 34637713 35417696 36047660 36297626 36277589 35917546 35457541 35037571 34727617 34587659 34637713 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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