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SPC Dec 19, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential is low tonight.

...01z Update...

Midlevel speed max is translating inland across northern CA this
evening. Associated short-wave trough will deamplify as it ejects
into OR later tonight. Very little/no lightning has been observed
with weak convection ahead of this feature. 00z sounding from OAK
exhibits poor lapse rates with meager buoyancy. While some
large-scale forcing for ascent will be noted early this evening,
meaningful destabilization is not expected and the risk for
lightning is very low.

..Darrow.. 12/19/2023

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