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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0250 PM CST Thu Dec 21 2023

Valid 231200Z - 291200Z

Highly amplified mid-level flow is expected over the lower 48
through the extended forecast period. An upper trough over the
Desert Southwest is forecast to merge with a second western US
shortwave trough over the southern Rockies early this weekend.
Emerging into a broad and deep upper low over the central CONUS,
cool and unsettled weather is expected through early next week. At
the surface, a cold front, and prolonged period of northwesterly
surface flow, is expected over the southern and central high Plains.
Periods of gusty surface winds and RH below 30% may develop through
midweek over parts of western TX, KS and OK. However, widespread
precipitation may limit available fuels. 

Beyond midweek next week, the upper low will shift eastward bringing
widespread precipitation and mild temperatures to the eastern half
of the US. Simultaneously, a second Pacific trough will move onshore
over the West Coast. With Pacific moisture flooding inland,
additional widespread precipitation appears likely through the end
of the forecast period. Thus, critical fire-weather concerns appear
unlikely, with the exception of a locally dry and breezy conditions
over the southern and central High Plains early next week.

..Lyons.. 12/21/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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