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SPC Dec 27, 2023 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook


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Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Image
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 AM CST Wed Dec 27 2023

Valid 301200Z - 041200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A mostly dry and stable boundary layer will preclude much
thunderstorm activity across the CONUS during the Day 4-8 period.
The exception will be around Day 6/Mon. During this time, an upper
shortwave trough over the Southwest will eject eastward across the
southern Plains and toward the Gulf Coast states. A surface low will
develop near the TX coast in response to the approaching upper wave
and shift east across the Gulf. Modest moisture return may impinge
on parts of the western/central Gulf coast ahead of the surface low
and a southeastward-advancing cold front. Isolated thunderstorms may
occur, but higher-quality moisture and thermodynamics will likely
remain offshore, precluding severe potential.

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