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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 PM CST Thu Dec 28 2023

Valid 301200Z - 051200Z

Critical fire-weather conditions are not expected during the
extended forecast period, though locally elevated conditions are
possible over the southern High Plains on D4/Sunday. 

On D3/Saturday, a midlevel shortwave ridge will be in place over the
southern Rockies, with enhanced west-northwest flow along the
northern periphery of this feature. This will promote lee
troughing/weak lee cyclogenesis and locally dry/breezy conditions
across parts of the southern High Plains during the afternoon.
Overall, a minimal overlap of dry/breezy conditions and marginal
fuels should limit fire-weather concerns. 

Thereafter, a southern-stream jet max will track eastward from
southern CA and overspread the southern Rockies on D4/Sunday. The
strong westerly downslope flow will maintain a weak lee cyclone
(ahead of an approaching cold front from the north) and favor
dry/windy conditions across southeast NM into West TX. While locally
elevated conditions are possible, marginal fuels should limit the
potential for critical conditions.

Elsewhere across the CONUS, fire-weather concerns appear minimal.

..Weinman.. 12/28/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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