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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1051 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023

Valid 311700Z - 011200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The current D1 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track. See previous
discussion below.

..Thornton.. 12/31/2023

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023/

...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today, but
localized concerns are possible across southern NM into southwest
TX. A dry air mass remains in place from central CO into southern NM
and southwest TX with dewpoints in the single digits to low teens.
This air mass will largely remain in place through the afternoon,
resulting in another day of RH minimums in the low teens across much
of the region. Weak lee troughing along the southern High Plains is
anticipated as an upper disturbance approaches from the west, but
will be modulated by the arrival of a cold front this afternoon. The
muted surface pressure gradient, compounded by somewhat shallow
boundary-layer mixing, should limit wind speeds below elevated
criteria for most of the southern High Plains. One exception to this
is in the lee of more prominent terrain features across southern NM
to southwest TX where winds may gust upwards of 30-40 mph as
mid-level flow strengthens through the day. This could result in
localized elevated to critical fire weather conditions. However,
highlights are withheld given the limited spatial extent of the
threat and ERCs largely below the 50th percentile.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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