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SPC Dec 31, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Outlook Image
Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CST Sun Dec 31 2023

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z


Potential for thunderstorms appears very low on Monday.

A positively tilted upper-level trough within the East will continue
its progress southeastward before moving offshore late Monday/early
Tuesday. Another upper-level trough will move into northern Mexico
and the Southwest through the period. At the surface, a cold front
will push into the northern Gulf. Presently, the greatest potential
for thunderstorms will likely remain offshore along the Gulf cold
front. Cooling aloft will support a small increase in elevated
buoyancy in parts of the Southwest. Given the dry air currently in
place within the region and little change expected, thermodynamic
profiles are not anticipated to support much if any lightning.
Isolated lightning flashes could occur near the Arizona/New Mexico
border vicinity, but should remain well below the 10% coverage

..Wendt.. 12/31/2023

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