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SPC Jan 1, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook


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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 AM CST Mon Jan 01 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast and
coastal California on Wednesday. Severe thunderstorms appear
unlikely.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A southern-stream shortwave trough should move quickly eastward over
the northern Gulf of Mexico and Southeast on Wednesday. An
associated weak surface low is likewise forecast to develop eastward
over the northern Gulf shelf waters and north FL through the period.
Most guidance continues to indicate that rich low-level moisture
will remain displaced offshore/south of the central Gulf Coast, and
west of the FL Gulf Coast. While some chance for elevated
thunderstorms may exist owing to weak MUCAPE inland, appreciable
severe potential over land currently appears low. Isolated
convection also appears possible, mainly Wednesday morning, across
parts of coastal CA as cold temperatures aloft and large-scale
ascent associated with an upper trough move from the eastern Pacific
over this area.

..Gleason.. 01/01/2024

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