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SPC Jan 1, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1003 AM CST Mon Jan 01 2024

Valid 011630Z - 021200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through early Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
A midlevel shortwave trough will move eastward from northern Baja to
Chihuahua by the end of the period.  Sufficiently steep lapse rates
and gradual midlevel moistening within the left exit region of the
mid-upper jet will support the potential for a few elevated
thunderstorms late tonight/early Tuesday from southeast AZ into
southwest NM.  Otherwise, the threat for isolated lightning flashes
over the TX/LA coasts will end as convection along a surface cold
front continues to shift slowly southeastward to the shelf waters.

..Thompson/Squitieri.. 01/01/2024

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