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SPC Jan 1, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook


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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Outlook Image
Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CST Mon Jan 01 2024

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated to scattered non-severe thunderstorms are expected from
Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night across parts of Texas and
southwestern Louisiana. A few lightning strikes may occur along the
coast of northern California.

...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough will move from the Desert Southwest to west
Texas on Tuesday. Ahead of the system, a moist airmass will remain
over the western Gulf of Mexico extending westward to the lower
Texas coast. Elevated thunderstorms may develop across parts of
central or south-central Texas Tuesday afternoon, near a low-level
jet and within a zone of strong large-scale ascent associated with
the approaching trough. The potential for thunderstorm development
will shift eastward Tuesday evening into Tuesday night across the
middle Texas Coast, southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. The
higher surface dewpoints and stronger instability, are expected to
remain offshore. Therefore, no severe threat is expected. Elsewhere,
a few lightning strikes, not associated with a severe threat, may
occur along the coast of northern California as an upper-level
trough approaches on Tuesday.

..Broyles.. 01/01/2024

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