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SPC Jan 2, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0619 PM CST Mon Jan 01 2024

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few weak thunderstorms will be possible from southeast Arizona
into southwest New Mexico overnight.

...Discussion...
Lift associated with a shortwave trough may result in a few weak
thunderstorms tonight from southeast AZ into southwest NM, as
midlevel moistening occurs. Forecast soundings depict steep midlevel
lapse rates, but generally weak winds below 500 mb as the area will
be well north of the midlevel jet. The lift and increasing midlevel
RH will counteract the loss of diurnal heating, possibly leading to
scattered showers and isolated lightning flashes.

..Jewell.. 01/02/2024

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