Jump to content
  • Forum Image

SPC Jan 2, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook


Recommended Posts

  • Administrators
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 AM CST Tue Jan 02 2024

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur Thursday across parts of the
southern Plains and coastal Texas. Severe thunderstorms are not
expected.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A cold front will move southward over the central/southern FL
Peninsula on Thursday. But, with limited low-level convergence along
this boundary, thunderstorm potential appears low over this area. In
its wake, a large area of surface high pressure will dominate much
of the central/eastern states through the period. A lack of
appreciable low-level moisture should hinder thunderstorm develop
for a large majority of the CONUS, with a couple of possible
exceptions over the southern Plains and coastal TX.

A pronounced upper trough/low with attendant strong large-scale
ascent will eject over the southern Plains through the day. Even
though surface temperatures will remain cool and low-level moisture
quite limited, weak instability may still develop with modest
daytime heating over parts of the southern High Plains. Isolated,
low-topped thunderstorms may occur in this regime as mid-level
temperatures rapidly cool with the approach of the upper trough.
Other thunderstorms also appear possible late Thursday night into
early Friday morning across a small portion of coastal TX as greater
low-level moisture begins to return northward across this area.

..Gleason.. 01/02/2024

Read more

View the full article

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...