BMcElheney
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About BMcElheney
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WILL reacted to a post in a topic:
Looking Toward Winter
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NorthGeorgiaWX reacted to a post in a topic:
Looking Toward Winter
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Alen reacted to a post in a topic:
Looking Toward Winter
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Winters in the Southeast have pretty much just been blowtorch after blowtorch for the past decade. It's time for some regression to the mean. We're long overdue for at least one good storm this year.
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Now that the Hurricanes are gone (for now at least) bring on this beautiful fall weather! This morning might've been the first taste of the 50s I've had this year and we're dipping to the 40s tonight. Saw where some even cooler temps moving in early next week!
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Bagsmom reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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NorthGeorgiaWX reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Hawkeye reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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We give the GFS flack for not handling tropical systems well, but I believe it was the only model that held pretty strong to the eastern track on this one. And we all ignored it
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Bagsmom reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Bagsmom reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Im not seeing the turn. It keeps acting like it’s trying then jogs right back to the NE. I won’t be mad if our lights stay on though. Still has time for yall but looks pretty certain to pass to my east down here
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Still rolling on that same track. Curious if it’s going to bend back N or NW. If it doesn’t looks like I’ll miss the worst impacts as well in Macon. Got me a 3 hr nap in so I’m ready to ride it out from here. Wind is really ramping up
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Bagsmom reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Bagsmom reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Cat 5 is 155 mph. We’re at 140
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Reed Timmer is live on his YouTube channel in Keaton Beach about to intercept the eyewall in his armored car. That dude is crazy. And I’m jealous
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and it’s not localized. These are the minimum conditions expected across the entire freaking state! I assume they’re going to focus on urban areas first. Some folks who live in more rural areas may be without power for over a week
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/1839434372447170756
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Man that graphic has the eyewall bullseyeing my house at about 4 am. This is going to be a wild night
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Those “loop current” maps have been somewhat deceiving. It shows blues and greens closer to shore. That’s just relative to the warmth of that current. SST’s are very warm throughout the gulf all the way to the coast
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Wasn’t it at 100 mph at 8 am? 30 mph increase in less than 12 hrs is INSANE
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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I think a shoutout is deserved for the folks at NHC. Besides some slight wobbles back and forth they have largely nailed this track/forecast from 4-5 days out before the storm even formed
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Yeah for sure. Of course praying for everyone’s safety. But I feel like a kid on Christmas Eve right now
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BMcElheney reacted to a post in a topic:
Hurricane Helene
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Steve, I saw where James Spann tweeted something earlier mentioning the Brown Ocean Effect phenomenon. First I’d ever heard of it. With the PRE, and heat we’ve had, combined with the forward speed of this system… I’m concerned this thing might not weaken as quickly as it’s modeled as it moves inland as I assume similar to the wedge… that this would be something that models can’t really pick up on.
