Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 2 Administrators Share Posted January 2 SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Tue Jan 02 2024 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are expected in central Texas this afternoon and tonight into southeast Texas and southern Louisiana. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this evening through tonight along the northern/central California coast. ...Synopsis... Within a southern stream, one shortwave trough will progress eastward from far west TX to the northwest Gulf coast by early Wednesday, as an upstream trough moves over CA. A modifying air mass is returning northward across the western Gulf of Mexico, though weak cyclogenesis across the shelf waters will keep the surface warm sector just offshore of all but the immediate lower TX coast. There will be some potential for a supercell or two over the near-shore waters of the middle/upper TX coast, but convection will subsequently move farther offshore, which suggests that any severe threat over land is too low to add any probabilities. Scattered/elevated thunderstorms will form farther inland in a zone of increasing ascent over central TX this afternoon, and storms will continue through tonight into southeast TX and southern LA. Otherwise, isolated thunderstorms will be possible later today into tonight across the northern/central CA coast as the upstream trough/midlevel cooling and steepening low-midlevel lapse rates spread inland. ..Thompson/Squitieri.. 01/02/2024 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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