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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Wed Jan 03 2024

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z


The D2 Fire Weather Outlook requires no changes. See previous
discussion below.

..Thornton.. 01/03/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0121 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2024/

Fire weather potential appears limited for Thursday for much of the
country, though regional concerns may materialize across southern
New Mexico into Southwest Texas. The upper low currently off the CA
coast is forecast to reach the Four Corners region by Thursday
morning with an attendant surface low over central NM. A trailing
Pacific cold front should sweep through southern NM and southwest TX
through the afternoon. Ensemble guidance shows reasonably good
agreement in sustained winds above 15 mph, possibly gusting as high
as 30-35 mph. Little in the way of temperature reductions are
currently anticipated behind the front, and the westerly flow regime
should promote downslope warming/drying. However, most solutions
hint at isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms along the
front, which may negate recent days of modest drying. Furthermore,
scattered cloud cover may also modulate RH reductions. While the
potential for elevated fire weather conditions is noted,
uncertainties regarding rain chances and cloud cover preclude

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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