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SPC Jan 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1012 AM CST Thu Jan 04 2024

Valid 041630Z - 051200Z


Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today or tonight.

A pronounced mid-level trough will impinge on the Southern Plains as
another mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic today. Surface
high pressure and cooler air will overspread the eastern CONUS,
limiting thunderstorm potential, while low-level moisture and
marginal buoyancy will return northward across parts of the
south-central U.S. Cold air aloft associated with the passing
mid-level trough may support isolated lightning flashes across
central NM into central TX through the period. However, slightly
better chances for thunderstorm development will be associated with
the warm-air advection regime over the TX coastline later tonight.

..Squitieri.. 01/04/2024

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