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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0106 PM CST Sat Jan 06 2024

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z


No changes to the ongoing forecast. Elevated to critical
meteorological conditions remain possible in parts of southern New
Mexico into the Trans-Pecos, but unreceptive fuels are not expected
to support more than local concerns.

..Wendt.. 01/06/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CST Sat Jan 06 2024/

Strong mid-level flow will persist across the eastern CONUS as a
shortwave trough and widespread winter precipitation develop along
the Atlantic Coast. At the same time, a second trough is forecast to
rapidly deepen over parts of the western US before ejecting eastward
over the southern Plains. In response, a strong lee low will
develop, supporting gusty winds across parts of West TX. However,
cool temperatures and widespread recent precipitation should limit
fire-weather concerns.

...Texas Trans Pecos...
A strong lee low is forecast to develop over West TX and southern NM
as the main upper trough deepens across the southern Rockies
D2/Sunday. Gusty southwesterly surface winds are expected to
intensify as the low continues to strengthen. Gusts may reach 20-30
mph at times across parts of the TX Trans Pecos and southern NM. Dry
conditions with RH values below 20% may also allow for some
meteorological critical conditions to develop through the afternoon.
However, area fuels are not receptive after precipitation and colder
temperatures over the preceding weeks. This suggests any
fire-weather potential that does develop should remain localized.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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