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SPC Jan 7, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0647 PM CST Sat Jan 06 2024

Valid 070100Z - 071200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through early Sunday.

...Discussion...
Severe potential has waned since peaking a couple hours ago when a
brief tornado was reported near FLL. Deep convection persists from
the Dry Tortugas to the south tip of the peninsula but should
further decay over the next few hours as weak outflow has become
nearly parallel to the deep-layer shear vector. In addition, Key
West VWP data has sampled decreasing low to mid-level flow over the
past hour, further suggestive of severe potential becoming
negligible.

Elsewhere, thunder potential will be limited across much of the
CONUS outside of the coastal OR vicinity. Here, scattered low-topped
convection amid a cool but steep lapse rate environment may yield
sporadic lightning flashes tonight.

..Grams.. 01/07/2024

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