Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 7 Administrators Share Posted January 7 Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0332 AM CST Sun Jan 07 2024 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... In the wake of a significant surface cyclone likely to migrate northeast of the lower Great Lakes region by mid week, medium-range models indicate that renewed amplification of mid-level ridging within the split flow across the eastern mid-latitude Pacific will be followed by at least a couple of vigorous short waves digging across the Pacific Northwest. One of these, emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, may dig toward or across the Southwestern international border area during the middle to latter portion of the week, before accelerating northeastward across the lower Mississippi Valley through the Northeast by next weekend. There is sizable spread evident within the model output concerning this evolution, and associated surface cyclogenesis which might tend to take a track south and east of the preceding cyclone. It appears at least possible that this could contribute to a destabilizing environment potentially supportive of a risk for organized severe storms across parts of southern/southeastern Texas through portions of the Gulf and south Atlantic Coast region. While the extent of this threat remains unclear, it currently seems probable that it will remain less than with the early week system. Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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