Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 7 Administrators Share Posted January 7 SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0659 AM CST Sun Jan 07 2024 Valid 071300Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Discussion... An increasingly amplified large-scale pattern will evolve over the CONUS through tonight, highlighted by the quick exit of a minoring shortwave trough off the coast of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast today, while a trough prominently amplifies over the Great Basin and central/southern Rockies. A few thunderstorms will be possible today across far south Florida until around midday prior the cold front reaching the Florida Straits. A few thunderstorms may also occur later today across parts of Arizona and the Four Corners area as lapse rates steepen and forcing for ascent increases in relation to the amplifying upper trough. Severe thunderstorms are not expected in either case. Late tonight, the potential for elevated thunderstorms will increase across the Plains, initially from northwest Texas into Kansas as cooling aloft occurs and forcing for ascent increases in conjunction with modest elevated moisture transport. Given the degree of late-period mass response, some of the convection may linearly organize late tonight/early Monday across the Texas Big Country into southwest Oklahoma in the presence of very strong deep-layer southwesterly winds. However, the cold/initially dry boundary layer should preclude stronger/convectively enhanced wind gusts developing in the surface layer. ..Guyer/Smith.. 01/07/2024 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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